Super-subs, the sub effect, pinch hitters and more. Players like Jermain Defoe (23 Premier League goals as a sub), Nwanko Kanu (17), Ole-Gunnar Solksjaer (17) and Javier Hernández (14) have done a lot of work to promote this terminology over the past decade(s). But how certain are those concepts? Are their players that consistently score more goals coming on as a sub? And what is the general tendency; do subs, fitter than starters when they come on, score more goals then starters? Let’s see.
I have been writing quite a lot on Premier League substitutions lately and here is an overview of the posts:
- Premier League substitutions: 1. What and When?
- Premier League substitutions: 2. The Decision Rule
- Premier League substitutions: 3. Do subs score more than starters?
- Premier League substitutions: 4. The double-substitution at half time
- Premier League substitutions: 5. Olivier Giroud (draft)
- Premier League substitutions: 6. Jürgen Klopp
ALL DATA COMES FROM DATAFACTORY
As argued in one of my previous blogs, building on the “Decision Rule” from Myers, Premier League managers could increase their chances of turning around a game if they would make earlier substitutions. As can be seen here managers on average implement their first, second and third substitutions in the minutes 62. 72 and 81 respectively.
Liverpool and Man United played a close but rather dull game at Anfield Road last night (17/10/2016). The Red Devils held the Reds to only 9 shots, their lowest tally in a Premier League home game in the last 2 seasons (the current and last season that is), while they themselves also could not get more than 7 attempts.